Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Pre market analysis 8-3-11 Wednesday


Trying to get into my routine...
News: ADP employment report @ 8:30AM, factory orders @ 10AM, ISM non Mfg orders @ 10AM
Trade plan and Price action analysis: (Trade plan) Globex stayed in a small range most of the night and popped back up above the 1252.25 previous swing low from the balance area. Es traded up to 1257 resistance and rotated back down to the 1252 area and is currently in that small range. Sellers are in control and the expectation is for them to be active on any push up into resistance. I have 57-59 area a break above that will bring the 65-67 (strong area) area into play a break above that would signal buyer strength and shift short term control back to the buyers. Then the 1270 nvpoc from yesterday. On the down side i have 1243 where globex lows stopped at and 1235-1237 area. We could see buyers active there except for a news release that is really bearish. Over all we are at some previous swing low areas and the sellers will either keep pushing down or the buyers will step in hard and move the market back up into value. I will look for shorts at resistance and possible longs at support after i see signs of sellers exhausting at support. This HS neckline break could be a fake out and i will need to see follow through today from the sellers in order to validate the pattern.


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