Tuesday, March 1, 2011

End of day review 3-1-11 Tuesday


Pretty crazy day. It's nice to see ES moving again. Have to admit i started giving up hope. So today wiped out 2 days of gains, you gotta love a selling market. Any way ES was taking no prisoners today breaking a lot of key levels. Today was either your best friend or your worst enemy. Trend days will be like that. You will either kill it or cry on your way home from work. I have had both lol. Fortunately for me today i had a good day taking home 4 points. Not a lot for a 30 point range day but considering the work circumstance I'm happy and thankful. You can see my trades chart for details. I was a little suspicious of the big move up in globex this morning on no news so i was at first looking for PB to get long but after the market opened and headed south pretty quickly i started to change my bias to looking for selling opps. My first area i was looking for longs was globex lows being that we had a bullish macro structure. But with the econ figure out in a few minutes i waited to see the reaction of the market. After the release this area was pretty much trashed. Then the selling came in and i was looking for selling opps from then on. I was able to catch a quick retrace and join the move with only a few ticks of heat.





Pre Market Analysis 3-1-11 Tuesday


News: Bank of Canada announcement @ 9:00 AM, ISM Mfg Index @ 10AM, Construction spending @ 10AM
Daily chart Notes: ES has been trading higher and building acceptance higher up as well. We are at a possible turning point here and could see ES trade back down to a support level or make it back up to the top of the recent range. We should still view the recent action as a pull back in an uptrend and need to be careful of continuation to the upside. We have broken the 61.8 % retrace from the move down and it looks like it wants to go higher.
MP Notes: Sunday Monday and last night globex has been putting value higher up. We have a P shape structure on yesterday's session and globex has been forming value higher up on yesterdays value giving us a bullish macro structure. So i will be looking for opps to get long.
Trade plan: With value forming higher i will be looking for opps to get long. I will wait for pull backs into support to join the buying back up into the top of the range. If we move back up to globex highs i will be looking for shorting opps. We have support at 1328.75-1330 and then 1326-1327 if we break those areas to the down side i will be looking at 1319-1320 as a strong area of support below that would be a red flag and i will become less aggressive on longs and will be a seller below 1315-1317 area. Over all i will be looking for rotation at my levels and im expecting a balanced session today. We have Obama's report card out on Friday (NFP) so im expecting the market to be somewhat quite this week leading up to that release. Be patient and relax :)