Friday, April 15, 2011

End of day review 4-15-11 Friday :)

Today was an alright day as far as action is concerned. I had a loser in the morning after the strong buying came in. I was trying to catch a PB into support only to have the market shoot down and stop me out. I was a little afraid to get long at the retest of the level at 1309-1311 area so I was being cautious and waiting for a retest of the LOD. The market traded right up into the upper extreme of the recent value area and I didn’t really catch that in my morning analysis. Otherwise I would have been looking to get short around 1315.75 level test to be a responsive seller and take the market back into value around 1309-1311 area. I ended up catching a good long after the break down around 3 PM. First I tried a short on the retest of IBH and got jerky and ended up getting in a little early so I bailed for +2 ticks. Then the market retested the IBH level and sold down 2 points so that would have been a good trade. Then I wanted to get long after the market tested the 50% retrace area which was also the globex highs and a LVN on the day. So I just bought as close to the 50 % retrace level as I could and I ended up being a point early again but my stop of 6 ticks kept me alive by 3 ticks. I ended up taking 3 points and ended the day up but down $200 for the week. I am break even for the month so far.
   I have noticed a few things this week one is that I have a problem with trying to guess what the market is trying to do. And the other is I trade with fear. Fear of losing money and fear of missing out on something. And I think that the fear in my trading is what is making me try and guess what the market is trying to do. So I was considering trading on SIM for the week and see how this effects my trading decisions. Then I will have confirmation on whether or not my trading is driven by fear instead of logic.




Pre market analysis 4-15-11 Friday :)


News: Consumer price index @ 8:30AM, Empire state Mfg survey @ 8:30AM, Treasury international capital @ 9AM, Industrial production @ 9:15AM, Consumer sentiment @ 9:55AM
Trade plan: ES had some good buying come in off of the 50 % retrace level at 1299.00 area yesterday and then bounced up into the CVPOC at 1311 area. Globex formed value higher up on yesterdays value so the short term we are bullish with the bullish macro in place. There are a few news releases out today most importantly is the consumer confidence number at 9:55AM. I'm expecting buyers and sellers to be active at the support and resistance levels today. And im expecting a balanced session unless we get some initiative action on the release of the figures.