Thursday, April 14, 2011

Pre market analysis 4-14-11 Thursday


News: Producer price index @ 8:30 AM, Jobless claims @ 8:30AM
Trade plan: The [past few sessions saw ES balancing after an initial move lower. We have been building out value on the bigger composite profile POC area at 1311.00 area trading back and forth around it. I have noticed that this is common behavior around big VPOCs. Globex has built value above that 1305 level and has since broken down to 1299.50-1301 area building out value further and shift POC lower down. This tells me that people are interested in trading lower because value is building lower (acceptance at lower prices) and i will be looking for so follow through as the morning unfolds. I will be looking for short opps on pullbacks into resistance. I have the 1305-1306 area which is still in play as pre market resistance above that is the 1310.50-1312.00 pre market resistance and big CVPOC where i expect sellers to be active on first test. If we break above that then that would confirm buyers are back in control and i will be looking for higher prices. As for longs Im not really focused on the long side today as it would be a counter trend set up and i will have to feel it out when the time comes. Otherwise we could get small rotations at support areas below



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